Showing posts with label Chermany. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Chermany. Show all posts

Market Seizure.. Updated!!!





US versus China

When last we looked the United States was putting in unwanted pressure on the Chinese architecture and economy wise tightening their claws to curtail whatever money China was earning.

The reality of the truth well on the other side is that China holds such a huge population and pegging itself t the dollar at a constant value since 2008 it has not got many options to enjoy when price modulation is concerned. More or less whatever margin China gets on the goods that is sold is nothing but a meagre 2 percent. This means that in the United States if the bill is passed and the strong regulations are being applies on the Chinese economy then the exporters would be driven to the ground and the cushioning effect that the China had been downplaying since years would be devastated.

United States has a previous experience of such regulation when it has destroyed foreign economies to give boost to internal production. Something of this sort happened in 1990s around when goods that were imported from Japan were made very costly so that the simultaneous American goods can also become competitive.

As can be seen both the House Democrats and the Republicans are fixed on their point to pass the bill as according to them the curtailment of Chinese hands is an important agenda but time will tell what is bound to happen.

With the American economy completely broke and still waging war in Asia and the Middle East it becomes complicated to trust motives when things do tend to seem otherwise too and China vetoing whatever it can with the 54 African votes in the United Nation against any American imposed restrictions in Iran situation is pretty dim.

The situation however becomes even more gruesome with the sudden ascent of Chermany and not in the most positive way. Speaking of intentions some intentions have still not become clear as what the countries exactly want from the on going crisis that is pulling everyone into it.

This is the third time in a row when the fiscal tightening has forced the masses of the Greece on the streets while on the other side more sophisticated European nations are discussing how to do away with the need to sponsor a bailout for the bankrupt nations.


Germanic Intentions

Mr Schäuble, German finance minister addressed his critics by declaring Greece’s crisis had shown it was “obvious” that the 16-nation eurozone’s rules were “incomplete” and unable to deal with situations long thought “inconceivable”.

His argument comes after days of vigorous debate within Germany, and with other European Union partners, with some questioning the timing of the initiative and others the need for an alternative to the International Monetary Fund.

The Bundesbank, Germany’s national central bank, this week signalled its opposition to any proposal that might distract eurozone governments from the more immediate task of bringing Greece’s public finances under control.

Axel Weber, Bundesbank president, described as “not helpful” discussions about the “institutionalisation of emergency help”, which he said could prove “counterproductive” given that eurozone countries were currently helping Greece.

Greece even though being a paramount question need proper thought is saving it worth the cost for Germany.

If we go by the words of Mr Schäuble there can only be one thing that might come out clear and that would be that Germany is looking at options for a safe exit from Euro zone as far as the currency binding is considered while planning a bailout too.


The Boasters

Chermany as has the name been coined denoted the two of the world’s biggest exporters governing whatever the world eats. China and Germany are, of course, very different from each other. Yet, for all their differences, these countries share some characteristics: they are the largest exporters of manufactures, with China now ahead of Germany, they have massive surpluses of saving over investment; and they have huge trade surpluses.

Both also believe that their customers should keep buying, but stop irresponsible borrowing. Since their surpluses entail others’ deficits, this position is incoherent. Surplus countries have to finance those in deficit. If the stock of debt becomes too big, the debtors will default. If so, the vaunted “savings” of surplus countries will prove to have been illusory: vendor finance becomes, after the fact, open export subsidies.

China is already clawing the possibility of financing every spending of USA but considering the consumption of European Union is considered if Germany were to sponsor Greece bailout or for that matter any other bailout it would choose to leave the Union while doing that or force the weak nations to do so.

The situation is like Germany no longer wants to be associated with its weaker counterparts but seriously wants to help them. It is still playing with its cards till the time when the exact structure of European Union future would be decided for that would decide how the pegging of currencies would occur.

The time is like when financing counterparts is more like making them eat more and in doing so fuelling the market of the country itself. A kind of symbiotic foothold so that the eating and consuming cycle goes on, however this complicated cycle of Euro common currency is restraining countries as they are economically pegged to each other.

More to come.........
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Market Seizure





With the fact clear that Google is coming out of the Chinese market sooner than the financial birdwatchers have forecasted there lays a dense fog on Sino American relationship on what is to happen next. With 400 million Chinese markets still under the assumption that Google is being pushed out of the country because of its vulgar and explicit sexual content the far outcry of heavy censorship is going to affect both Google and Chinese economy as a whole.

With America not in favour of any of what China is pertaining to do and its policies tightening around the dragon’s neck what is next in line is the new bipartisan bill to curb Chinese made imports in the US. China long since mid 2008 kept a constant Yuan to dollar value pegged at a number 6.83 which is causing a lot of problems. With the great slump in the American market and no remuneration for internal American producer from the government due to lack of fund the internal produced goods are not at all competitive in the market.

Chinese goods are highly competitive in the market owing to their cheapness. This cheapness comes from the undervalued Yuan which China has no interest of changing. China hold seventy percent of its foreign reserves in the American treasury Bills hence forth is able to command a constant currency ratio.



Being a communist regime what it does it forcibly brings down the standard of living of the people and dictates their low standard of living there by converting the solid gains and selling the products into foreign exchange reserves. Hence forth it has been able to generate reserves to the tune of ten times what it had in 2003 in the last seven years.

On the other side of the world where that American economy is trying to fight the biggest slump it is being pestered by the Chinese policies which include this constant pegging to the dollar. Internal production is vandalised because of the non competitive China driven market. Only if the China re values its currency and rises it against the dollar then only the internal market would become competitive.

Recently two bills have been brought up in American Congress for the same and most probably would pass. Both of them are pointed to pressurize China to rethink over its decision to increase the value of Yuan against the dollar. First of all there was the Job Bill that is focused at proving new entities with subsidies for opening new business and simultaneously there is this Bipartisan Bill wherein the Republicans and Democrats both are saying to increases taxes on imports from whatever is brought from China.

The consequence of the bipartisan bill is going to be single fold. First of all due to sudden rise in the prices of Chinese goods in the American market the American made internal goods might become competitive in the market and this would give boost internal producers. This bill is going to pressurise the Chinese government to rethink its proposal to continue with its constant pegging on the Dollar or draw a midway with the American counterparts. What is clear that America would not risk the possibility of job creation through this hence it is in favour of increasing the prices of Chinese goods?

But the other part of the story remains that with interest level at near zero and no plan of the American government to alter it is it the right time to bring a costly expensive market to the American consumer. American consumer knows what consumption is but with the slump and whatever small amount of jobs being created would it be viable to introduce this inflationary change.

The situation on the other side of the Atlantic is equivalently gruesome. With Chinese export driven funda there is another country that still stands on the green fields but is feeling the heat of being green. Germany is another mass exporter for whom a constant cheap foreign export is likelihood and the only means of sustenance.

People talk about the rise of the G2 or Chimerica, people talk about the rise of Chindia but now the people are talking about the Chermany, a composite of the world’s biggest net exporters: China, with a forecast current account surplus of $291bn this year and Germany, with a forecast surplus of $187bn.

A just question how America can curtail the hands that feed it. Whatever new bills it applies in the end the situation would revert back to it as controlling the consumption is not a means neither is bring a catapult change in its internal market production. Why is America not thinking that it has no internal market left and if it has to compete with China it will have to do it right from the scratch?

More to come.......


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